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Hurricane Hilary Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2017-07-24 10:47:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUL 24 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 240847 PWSEP4 HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 0900 UTC MON JUL 24 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 83 13(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 15N 105W 50 18 45(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 15N 105W 64 3 29(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 42(58) 5(63) 1(64) X(64) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 1(15) 1(16) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 33(48) 2(50) X(50) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 56(57) 21(78) 1(79) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 21(47) 1(48) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 16(28) 1(29) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 9(30) 1(31) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 24(46) 4(50) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 2(21) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 24(44) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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