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Hurricane ISELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2014-08-03 16:34:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 031434 PWSEP4 HURRICANE ISELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014 1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 14(34) X(34) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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