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Hurricane ISELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2014-08-04 10:51:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 040851 PWSEP4 HURRICANE ISELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014 0900 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 135.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 16(25) X(25) X(25) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 1(26) X(26) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 5(26) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 7(21) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 10(21) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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