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Hurricane Ida Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2021-08-29 13:57:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1200 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 291157 PWSAT4 HURRICANE IDA SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021 1200 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WHITING FLD FL 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PENSACOLA FL 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 290N 870W 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MOBILE AL 34 12 16(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) MOBILE AL 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 72 12(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) GULFPORT MS 50 6 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GULFPORT MS 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) STENNIS MS 34 92 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) STENNIS MS 50 17 29(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) STENNIS MS 64 2 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 50 94 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) BURAS LA 64 26 5(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSON MS 34 4 37(41) 21(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) JACKSON MS 50 1 4( 5) 12(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 74 21(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 14 54(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) GFMX 280N 910W 34 75 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) GFMX 280N 910W 50 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 280N 910W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 84 15(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BATON ROUGE LA 50 11 75(86) 2(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) BATON ROUGE LA 64 2 54(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) MORGAN CITY LA 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MORGAN CITY LA 50 57 31(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) MORGAN CITY LA 64 10 47(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 5 50(55) 5(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 1 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LAFAYETTE LA 34 45 43(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) LAFAYETTE LA 50 4 29(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) LAFAYETTE LA 64 1 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEW IBERIA LA 34 66 26(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) NEW IBERIA LA 50 6 33(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) NEW IBERIA LA 64 1 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SHREVEPORT LA 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) FORT POLK LA 34 4 20(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) FORT POLK LA 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 4 19(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) LAKE CHARLES 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAMERON LA 34 5 12(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CAMERON LA 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JASPER TX 34 3 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) KOUNTZE TX 34 3 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 3 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GALVESTON TX 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HOUSTON TX 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FREEPORT TX 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MATAGORDA TX 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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