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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 47
2017-09-10 22:54:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 102054 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 2100 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 1 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 5 14(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ATLANTA GA 34 X 12(12) 18(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 16(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) SAVANNAH GA 34 7 24(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) KINGS BAY GA 34 33 36(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) KINGS BAY GA 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 18 58(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) WAYCROSS GA 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MAYPORT NS FL 34 46 28(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) MAYPORT NS FL 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) JACKSONVILLE 34 50 31(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) JACKSONVILLE 50 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 84 15(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 50 13 62(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) GAINESVILLE FL 64 1 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) DAYTONA BEACH 34 85 3(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) DAYTONA BEACH 50 10 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) DAYTONA BEACH 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) THE VILLAGES 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 50 68 22(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) THE VILLAGES 64 15 23(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) ORLANDO FL 34 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) ORLANDO FL 50 61 2(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) ORLANDO FL 64 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COCOA BEACH FL 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) COCOA BEACH FL 50 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) COCOA BEACH FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PATRICK AFB 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) PATRICK AFB 50 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PATRICK AFB 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FT PIERCE FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MIAMI FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 64 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 64 85 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) CEDAR KEY FL 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 50 42 54(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) CEDAR KEY FL 64 8 44(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 19 74(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 1 43(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ST MARKS FL 34 29 65(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) ST MARKS FL 50 2 48(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) ST MARKS FL 64 X 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) APALACHICOLA 34 20 39(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) APALACHICOLA 50 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) APALACHICOLA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 31 20(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) GFMX 290N 850W 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PANAMA CITY FL 34 9 26(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 2 27(29) 39(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) COLUMBUS GA 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) COLUMBUS GA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 6( 6) 16(22) 6(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 12(12) 19(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 4 6(10) 1(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) PENSACOLA FL 34 4 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 290N 870W 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MOBILE AL 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GULFPORT MS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 15 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANDROS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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