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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 49
2017-09-11 10:56:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 110856 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 49 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0900 UTC MON SEP 11 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS ...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FLORENCE SC 34 13 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) COLUMBIA SC 34 24 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) MYRTLE BEACH 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 21 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) CHARLESTON SC 34 40 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ATLANTA GA 34 19 24(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) AUGUSTA GA 34 43 5(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KINGS BAY GA 50 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) WAYCROSS GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WAYCROSS GA 50 39 X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYPORT NS FL 50 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 50 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MARATHON FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 64 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) ST MARKS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST MARKS FL 50 48 X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) APALACHICOLA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PANAMA CITY FL 34 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) COLUMBUS GA 34 34 44(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) COLUMBUS GA 50 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) COLUMBUS GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 4 11(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 10 9(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) WHITING FLD FL 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PENSACOLA FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 870W 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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