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Hurricane Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2024-09-28 10:39:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 000 FONT15 KNHC 280839 PWSAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 0900 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Hurricane Isaac (AT5/AL102024)
2024-09-28 10:38:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ISAAC CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...LARGE AREA OF DANGEROUS HIGH SEAS SPREADING SOUTH OF THE HURRICANE... As of 9:00 AM GMT Sat Sep 28 the center of Isaac was located near 39.3, -41.3 with movement NE at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 968 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Isaac Public Advisory Number 10
2024-09-28 10:38:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 AM GMT Sat Sep 28 2024 000 WTNT35 KNHC 280838 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Isaac Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102024 900 AM GMT Sat Sep 28 2024 ...ISAAC CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...LARGE AREA OF DANGEROUS HIGH SEAS SPREADING SOUTH OF THE HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.3N 41.3W ABOUT 785 MI...1265 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Isaac was located near latitude 39.3 North, longitude 41.3 West. Isaac is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h), and this general motion should continue through Monday followed by a turn toward the north-northeast on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through mid-day, followed by gradual weakening through the remainder of the forecast period. Isaac is expected to be a post-tropical cyclone on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Isaac and a large wind fetch from a deep-layer trough could spread into the Azores through the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Category: Transportation and Logistics