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Hurricane JOAQUIN Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
2015-10-02 10:39:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015 000 FONT11 KNHC 020839 PWSAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 0900 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOAQUIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 1(17) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 3(26) X(26) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 17 7(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANDROS 34 23 5(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GREAT EXUMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GREAT EXUMA 50 75 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) GREAT EXUMA 64 18 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SAN SALVADOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN SALVADOR 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN SALVADOR 64 72 16(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYAGUANA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAMAGUEY 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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