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Hurricane JULIO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2014-08-07 16:37:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 07 2014 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 071437 PWSEP5 HURRICANE JULIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102014 1500 UTC THU AUG 07 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 136.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 41(43) 11(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 8(21) X(21) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) 1(28) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) KAHULUI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 2(25) KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 3(23) HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) HONOLULU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 6(22) LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NIIHAU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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