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Hurricane Jerry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2019-09-20 04:43:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 200243 PWSAT5 HURRICANE JERRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 0300 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 40(53) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN PR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SABA 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST EUSTATIUS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBUDA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANTIGUA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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