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Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 22
2024-10-04 22:44:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 042044 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 2100 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 49.4W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT.......190NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 300SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 49.4W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 49.1W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N 50.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N 49.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 55SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.6N 46.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 65SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.1N 42.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N 36.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 190SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 45.0N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 80SW 50NW. 34 KT...230NE 280SE 210SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 49.5N 3.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...280NE 290SE 240SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 49.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 10
2024-10-04 22:44:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 042044 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 2100 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 33.6W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 33.6W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 33.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 10.7N 34.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.2N 35.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.2N 37.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.5N 38.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.9N 39.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.3N 41.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N 48.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 33.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-04 19:33:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041733 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Western Portion of the East Pacific (EP98): A low pressure system located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some limited development is possible today while the low moves slowly northward or north-northeastward, but atmospheric conditions should become less conducive and prevent further development by the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the early part of next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle part of next week while the system drifts slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category: Transportation and Logistics