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Hurricane Kirk Public Advisory Number 29

2024-10-06 16:55:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Oct 06 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 061455 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Kirk Advisory Number 29 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 1100 AM AST Sun Oct 06 2024 ...KIRK ACCELERATING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS... ...LARGE SWELLS ARE PRODUCING AN INCREASED RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.6N 47.7W ABOUT 1155 MI...1855 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Kirk. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kirk was located near latitude 35.6 North, longitude 47.7 West. Kirk is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h). An acceleration toward the northeast and east-northeast is expected over the next few days while Kirk moves across the northeastern Atlantic. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Although weakening is expected through midweek, Kirk will remain a large hurricane for the next next day or so before transitioning to an extratropical cyclone by Monday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 290 miles (465 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kirk are affecting the Leeward Islands, Bermuda, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the east coast of the United States. These swells will continue spreading northward along the east coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada today, and to the Azores on Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Hagen


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 29

2024-10-06 16:55:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 061455 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 1500 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 47.7W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 100SE 95SW 50NW. 50 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT.......250NE 240SE 190SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 480SE 540SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 47.7W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 38.1N 45.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 40NW. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT...240NE 250SE 200SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 41.1N 39.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 130SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...230NE 270SE 210SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.1N 33.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 130SE 120SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 270SE 240SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.8N 25.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT...160NE 270SE 260SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 44.5N 15.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 240SE 250SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 46.7N 6.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 190SE 190SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 52.5N 9.0E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 47.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Hurricane Leslie Graphics

2024-10-06 16:55:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 06 Oct 2024 14:55:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 06 Oct 2024 14:55:07 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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