Home Hurricane LESTER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
 

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Hurricane LESTER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16

2016-08-28 16:34:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 281433 PWSEP3 HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132016 1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 13 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 15N 130W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 130W 34 1 14(15) 35(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 20N 130W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 35(39) 19(58) X(58) X(58) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) 17(51) 1(52) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) X(19) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 20(41) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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