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Hurricane LESTER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
2016-08-31 16:37:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 311437 PWSEP3 HURRICANE LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132016 1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 140W 34 4 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 53(56) 14(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) 15(15) 12(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 60(76) 1(77) X(77) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) 1(41) X(41) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 65(71) 1(72) X(72) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 1(34) X(34) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 2(19) X(19) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 18(49) X(49) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 20(36) 1(37) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 21(31) 1(32) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) BRADSHAW AAF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 1(20) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 32(42) 3(45) 21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) 21N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) 1(28) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 32(38) 2(40) KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) KAHULUI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 5(29) 21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 21N 158W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 12(26) BARKING SANDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 33(42) 1(43) HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 2(35) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 4(38) KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) HONOLULU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) HONOLULU 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) JOINT BASE PHH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) JOINT BASE PHH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 11(28) LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 25N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 12(24) NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 10(20) 21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) NIHOA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) BUOY 51101 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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