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Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 13
2024-10-05 16:49:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 051449 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 35.4W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 60SE 75SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 35.4W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 35.2W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.7N 36.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.7N 37.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.8N 38.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.0N 40.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.4N 42.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.8N 44.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.4N 47.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.4N 50.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 35.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-05 13:32:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051132 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A trough of low pressure offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing limited shower activity. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-05 13:22:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 051122 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Hurricane Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Gulf of Mexico (AL92): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico are gradually becoming better organized. Development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or on Sunday while it moves slowly eastward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. By early next week, the system is forecast to move faster eastward or northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico where additional strengthening is likely. Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category: Transportation and Logistics