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Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 17

2024-10-06 16:53:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 061453 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 1500 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 37.9W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 37.9W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 37.6W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.2N 39.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.4N 40.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.6N 42.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.9N 43.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.2N 45.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.4N 47.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.2N 49.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.2N 51.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 37.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-06 13:49:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 061149 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Milton, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Milton are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Kelly


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Summary for Tropical Storm Milton (AT4/AL142024)

2024-10-06 13:49:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS A STRONGER MILTON... ...RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS INCREASING FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST... As of 7:00 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 the center of Milton was located near 22.6, -94.9 with movement E at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 991 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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