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Hurricane Lorena Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2019-09-20 16:52:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 201452 PWSEP5 HURRICANE LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019 1500 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P ABREOJOS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 50 9(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 15 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAN JOSE CABO 34 64 5(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) SAN JOSE CABO 50 17 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SAN JOSE CABO 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 16(22) 14(36) X(36) X(36) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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