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Hurricane Lorena Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2019-09-21 04:57:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 210257 PWSEP5 HURRICANE LORENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152019 0300 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P ABREOJOS 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 66 1(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) LA PAZ 50 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) LORETO 34 2 61(63) 3(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) LORETO 50 X 19(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) LORETO 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HERMOSILLO 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) BAHIA KINO 34 X 3( 3) 45(48) 9(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) BAHIA KINO 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X 20(20) 34(54) 1(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) GUAYMAS 50 X 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATABAMPO 34 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) LOS MOCHIS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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