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Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2017-09-19 10:52:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 190852 PWSAT5 HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135 KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 8(21) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 25(29) 13(42) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 32(56) 6(62) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 23(28) 5(33) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 63(69) 15(84) 2(86) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 23(60) 1(61) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 21(40) 1(41) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 13(16) 5(21) 1(22) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 8(13) 2(15) 1(16) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 49(65) 6(71) X(71) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 5(39) 1(40) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 4(23) X(23) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 26(32) 24(56) 3(59) X(59) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) X(21) X(21) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PONCE PR 34 2 37(39) 53(92) 3(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) PONCE PR 50 X 5( 5) 58(63) 8(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) PONCE PR 64 X 1( 1) 36(37) 11(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) AGUADILLA PR 34 1 11(12) 71(83) 12(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96) AGUADILLA PR 50 X 1( 1) 44(45) 28(73) 3(76) X(76) X(76) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) 24(24) 28(52) 3(55) X(55) X(55) SAN JUAN PR 34 2 63(65) 33(98) 1(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) SAN JUAN PR 50 X 12(12) 75(87) 5(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) SAN JUAN PR 64 X 2( 2) 64(66) 9(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) VIEQUES PR 34 3 91(94) 6(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VIEQUES PR 50 1 53(54) 40(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) VIEQUES PR 64 X 20(20) 59(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) SAINT THOMAS 34 7 90(97) 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT THOMAS 50 1 62(63) 22(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) SAINT THOMAS 64 X 24(24) 29(53) X(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) SAINT CROIX 34 37 63(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT CROIX 50 2 90(92) 5(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) SAINT CROIX 64 X 70(70) 13(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) SAINT MAARTEN 34 80 12(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) SAINT MAARTEN 50 5 11(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 47 2(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARBUDA 34 71 1(72) X(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) ANTIGUA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ANTIGUA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GUADELOUPE 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) AVES 34 92 X(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) AVES 50 12 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) AVES 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DOMINICA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARTINIQUE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Category:Transportation and Logistics
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