Home Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31
 

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Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31

2017-09-23 22:48:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 232047 PWSAT5 HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 6(25) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 7(29) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 7(31) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 8(34) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 17(30) 8(38) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 5(23) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 24(31) 18(49) 8(57) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 3(16) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 17(21) 13(34) 6(40) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 21(28) 13(41) 7(48) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 4(14) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20(26) 12(38) 7(45) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 14(18) 9(27) 6(33) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 8(23) 5(28) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) 7(23) 5(28) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 4(21) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 3(18) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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