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Hurricane Marie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2020-10-01 22:42:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2020 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 012042 PWSEP3 HURRICANE MARIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 120W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 125W 34 1 42(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 15N 125W 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 125W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 49(80) 3(83) X(83) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 39(46) 2(48) X(48) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 1(26) X(26) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 4(30) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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