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Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2024-10-08 22:53:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 082053 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 2100 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 145 KTS...165 MPH...270 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 34(46) 5(51) X(51) X(51) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) 31(32) 23(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) 34(35) 37(72) 3(75) X(75) X(75) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 30(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 2( 2) 40(42) 42(84) 6(90) X(90) X(90) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 45(53) 8(61) X(61) X(61) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) PATRICK AFB 34 X 2( 2) 40(42) 42(84) 6(90) X(90) X(90) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 46(54) 7(61) X(61) X(61) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 39(41) 41(82) 4(86) X(86) X(86) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 37(43) 8(51) X(51) X(51) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) W PALM BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 31(65) 4(69) X(69) X(69) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 3( 3) 27(30) 22(52) 2(54) 1(55) X(55) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MIAMI FL 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) MARATHON FL 34 X 6( 6) 17(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 1 10(11) 17(28) 4(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) KEY WEST FL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NAPLES FL 34 1 13(14) 62(76) 6(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) NAPLES FL 50 X 1( 1) 30(31) 5(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) FT MYERS FL 34 X 5( 5) 66(71) 8(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) FT MYERS FL 50 X 1( 1) 30(31) 10(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) VENICE FL 34 1 19(20) 74(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) VENICE FL 50 X 2( 2) 72(74) 10(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) 52(52) 11(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) TAMPA FL 34 X 7( 7) 77(84) 8(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 51(51) 16(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) 28(28) 18(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 3( 3) 40(43) 13(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) APALACHICOLA 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALBANY GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOTHAN AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) 11(52) X(52) X(52) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HAVANA 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLE OF PINES 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 15
2024-10-08 22:53:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024 884 WTNT24 KNHC 082053 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 2100 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 87.5W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 918 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 300SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 87.5W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 88.1W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.8N 86.4W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.6N 84.7W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.2N 82.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...230NE 140SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.1N 80.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.6N 77.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 40SW 90NW. 34 KT...270NE 150SE 150SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N 75.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.6N 68.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 31.8N 60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 87.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 09/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Leslie Graphics
2024-10-08 22:34:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 08 Oct 2024 20:34:38 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 08 Oct 2024 20:34:38 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics