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Hurricane NEWTON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2016-09-05 22:58:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 052058 PWSEP5 HURRICANE NEWTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 2100 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEWTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P ABREOJOS 34 X 6( 6) 11(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 55 44(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 10 77(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 1 58(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) SAN JOSE CABO 34 56 43(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 50 7 78(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 49(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) LA PAZ 34 12 83(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) LA PAZ 50 1 71(72) 3(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) LA PAZ 64 X 35(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) LORETO 34 4 27(31) 54(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) LORETO 50 X 3( 3) 43(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) LORETO 64 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HERMOSILLO 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 26(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HERMOSILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BAHIA KINO 34 X 4( 4) 19(23) 24(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X 8( 8) 41(49) 9(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) 10(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATABAMPO 34 2 14(16) 22(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 6 28(34) 5(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) CULIACAN 34 8 10(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) ISLAS MARIAS 34 61 X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MAZATLAN 34 14 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SAN BLAS 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) P VALLARTA 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MANZANILLO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 45 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) ISLA SOCORRO 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 115W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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