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Hurricane Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2021-08-29 10:51:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 655 FOPZ14 KNHC 290851 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 2( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) LA PAZ 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LORETO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 9(12) 5(17) X(17) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 10(14) 1(15) X(15) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 10(21) 6(27) 1(28) X(28) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULIACAN 34 10 22(32) 6(38) 1(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) CULIACAN 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MAZATLAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAZATLAN 50 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) MAZATLAN 64 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAN BLAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 110W 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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