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Hurricane Norman Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21

2018-09-02 10:52:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018 063 FOPZ11 KNHC 020852 PWSEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 0900 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 130W 34 6 11(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 15N 135W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 135W 34 X 14(14) 75(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 20N 135W 50 X 1( 1) 45(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 77(82) 9(91) X(91) X(91) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 43(43) 17(60) X(60) X(60) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 13(31) X(31) X(31) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 50(52) 12(64) X(64) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 9(27) X(27) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 10(35) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 25N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 12(28) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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