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Hurricane ORLENE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2016-09-13 16:44:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 131444 PWSEP1 HURRICANE ORLENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 1500 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ORLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 120W 34 55 19(74) 9(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 20N 120W 50 4 12(16) 17(33) 4(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 20N 120W 64 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 25N 120W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 35(41) 2(43) X(43) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) 2(26) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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