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Hurricane ORLENE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2016-09-13 22:43:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 132043 PWSEP1 HURRICANE ORLENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 2100 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ORLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 53 24(77) 12(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) 20N 120W 50 4 20(24) 26(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 20N 120W 64 X 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 31(45) 1(46) X(46) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 1(24) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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