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Hurricane ORLENE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2016-09-12 16:38:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 12 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 121438 PWSEP1 HURRICANE ORLENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162016 1500 UTC MON SEP 12 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ORLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 120W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) 20N 120W 34 13 53(66) 14(80) 9(89) 4(93) 1(94) X(94) 20N 120W 50 1 17(18) 18(36) 17(53) 9(62) X(62) X(62) 20N 120W 64 X 3( 3) 10(13) 11(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 21(26) 25(51) 2(53) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 1(18) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 14(27) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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