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Hurricane Olaf Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2021-09-09 16:50:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 09 2021 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 091450 PWSEP5 HURRICANE OLAF WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152021 1500 UTC THU SEP 09 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 74 25(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 14 67(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 3 43(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) SAN JOSE CABO 34 74 24(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) SAN JOSE CABO 50 12 62(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) SAN JOSE CABO 64 2 31(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) LA PAZ 34 2 49(51) 7(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) LA PAZ 50 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) LA PAZ 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 25N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
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