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Hurricane PATRICIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2015-10-23 10:33:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 230833 PWSEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 0900 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PATRICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 175 KTS...200 MPH...325 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAZATLAN 34 X 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) SAN BLAS 34 4 87(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) SAN BLAS 50 X 29(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) SAN BLAS 64 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) P VALLARTA 34 61 38(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) P VALLARTA 50 1 74(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) P VALLARTA 64 X 46(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 41 41(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 6 44(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) MANZANILLO 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MANZANILLO 50 12 33(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) MANZANILLO 64 1 13(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) L CARDENAS 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 47(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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