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Hurricane PATRICIA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2015-10-23 16:49:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 231449 PWSEP5 HURRICANE PATRICIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202015 1500 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PATRICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 175 KTS...200 MPH...325 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAZATLAN 34 2 15(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SAN BLAS 34 64 32(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) SAN BLAS 50 2 37(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) SAN BLAS 64 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) P VALLARTA 34 98 1(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) P VALLARTA 50 39 45(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) P VALLARTA 64 12 41(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 85 2(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 54 3(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) MANZANILLO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MANZANILLO 50 42 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) MANZANILLO 64 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) L CARDENAS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 35 23(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) ISLAS MARIAS 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Category:Transportation and Logistics
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