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Hurricane Rosa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2018-09-28 22:54:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2018 903 FOPZ15 KNHC 282054 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202018 2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 6(19) X(19) IS GUADALUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) IS GUADALUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 10(30) X(30) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 115W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 4 5( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 11(20) X(20) X(20) 15N 120W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 120W 34 16 57(73) 3(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 20N 120W 50 3 13(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 120W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 120W 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 22(31) 8(39) X(39) X(39) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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