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Hurricane Sally Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2020-09-16 04:55:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 160255 PWSAT4 HURRICANE SALLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 0300 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SALLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GAINESVILLE FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) THE VILLAGES 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 4 6(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ST MARKS FL 34 3 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) APALACHICOLA 34 13 7(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GFMX 290N 850W 34 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 34 60 6(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) PANAMA CITY FL 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 39 12(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COLUMBUS GA 34 3 8(11) 9(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 15 19(34) 6(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) MONTGOMERY AL 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WHITING FLD FL 50 74 10(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) WHITING FLD FL 64 36 10(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) PENSACOLA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA FL 50 89 4(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) PENSACOLA FL 64 51 10(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) GFMX 290N 870W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 290N 870W 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 50 39 3(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) MOBILE AL 64 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GULFPORT MS 34 43 3(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) GULFPORT MS 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) STENNIS MS 34 11 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BURAS LA 34 5 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 280N 890W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSON MS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA NAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA NAS 64 72 4(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) KEESLER AB 34 83 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) KEESLER AB 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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