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Hurricane Sam Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2021-09-26 10:47:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 26 2021 000 FONT13 KNHC 260847 PWSAT3 HURRICANE SAM WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182021 0900 UTC SUN SEP 26 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SAM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER REINHART

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