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Hurricane Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 27
2018-10-06 04:31:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 060231 PWSEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC SAT OCT 06 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15N 120W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 4(10) X(10) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 30(47) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 125W 34 71 28(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 125W 50 7 77(84) 8(92) X(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) 15N 125W 64 1 57(58) 15(73) X(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 13(17) 30(47) 1(48) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 15N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 7(15) 1(16) X(16) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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