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Hurricane Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 40
2018-10-09 10:37:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 090837 PWSEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0900 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 28(39) 1(40) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) X(22) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) X(29) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 7(52) X(52) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 50(57) 8(65) X(65) X(65) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 125W 34 7 8(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 125W 34 3 8(11) 19(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 15N 130W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 130W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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