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Hurricane VANCE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2014-11-02 15:37:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN NOV 02 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 021437 PWSEP1 HURRICANE VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 1500 UTC SUN NOV 02 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 1(12) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) 31(51) 12(63) X(63) X(63) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) X(24) X(24) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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