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Hurricane VANCE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2014-11-04 03:41:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 040241 PWSEP1 HURRICANE VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 0300 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 6( 7) 16(23) 1(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 5( 6) 18(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) CULIACAN 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) MAZATLAN 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) SAN BLAS 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 91 X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) ISLA SOCORRO 50 17 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) ISLA SOCORRO 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 7( 8) 9(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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