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Hurricane VANCE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2014-11-04 09:36:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 040836 PWSEP1 HURRICANE VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 0900 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 12(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 13(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) LA PAZ 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CULIACAN 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MAZATLAN 34 1 8( 9) 15(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN BLAS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 15(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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