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Hurricane Zeta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2020-10-28 09:54:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 280854 PWSAT3 HURRICANE ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020 0900 UTC WED OCT 28 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS ...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 16(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTA GA 34 X 6( 6) 36(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ST MARKS FL 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) APALACHICOLA 34 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 2 42(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 18(18) 13(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 40(40) 6(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 58(58) 6(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) WHITING FLD FL 34 3 63(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) WHITING FLD FL 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PENSACOLA FL 34 3 66(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) PENSACOLA FL 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 34 6 37(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) MOBILE AL 34 3 91(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) MOBILE AL 50 X 57(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) MOBILE AL 64 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GULFPORT MS 34 4 93(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) GULFPORT MS 50 X 63(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) GULFPORT MS 64 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) STENNIS MS 34 6 88(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) STENNIS MS 50 X 56(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) STENNIS MS 64 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BURAS LA 34 37 62(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 50 1 83(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) BURAS LA 64 X 29(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GFMX 280N 890W 34 73 15(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) GFMX 280N 890W 50 6 10(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GFMX 280N 890W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) JACKSON MS 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 14 70(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 1 37(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 910W 50 94 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GFMX 280N 910W 64 68 12(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) BATON ROUGE LA 34 5 16(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MORGAN CITY LA 34 27 21(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) MORGAN CITY LA 50 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW IBERIA LA 34 6 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 280N 930W 34 20 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GFMX 280N 930W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAMERON LA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JASPER TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KOUNTZE TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 5 67(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) PENSACOLA NAS 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KEESLER AB 34 10 88(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) KEESLER AB 50 X 75(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) KEESLER AB 64 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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