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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 31
2016-09-05 04:56:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 050256 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA ME 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) PORTLAND ME 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) CONCORD NH 34 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) WORCESTER MA 34 4 9(13) 5(18) 2(20) 2(22) 1(23) X(23) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 3 10(13) 4(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) BOSTON MA 34 5 10(15) 5(20) 2(22) 3(25) 1(26) X(26) HYANNIS MA 34 12 16(28) 6(34) 5(39) 4(43) X(43) X(43) HYANNIS MA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NANTUCKET MA 34 19 19(38) 6(44) 6(50) 3(53) X(53) X(53) NANTUCKET MA 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) PROVIDENCE RI 34 9 13(22) 6(28) 3(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 6 10(16) 5(21) 2(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) NEW HAVEN CT 34 6 11(17) 5(22) 1(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) HARTFORD CT 34 5 10(15) 5(20) 2(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) NEW LONDON CT 34 9 13(22) 5(27) 3(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) NEW LONDON CT 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALBANY NY 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) 1(13) 1(14) X(14) MONTAUK POINT 34 12 17(29) 6(35) 3(38) 2(40) 1(41) X(41) MONTAUK POINT 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLIP NY 34 7 12(19) 5(24) 1(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 5 10(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 4 9(13) 3(16) 1(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) NEWARK NJ 34 3 9(12) 2(14) 2(16) X(16) 1(17) X(17) TRENTON NJ 34 2 7( 9) 3(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) NWS EARLE NJ 34 5 8(13) 4(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PHILADELPHIA 34 1 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) ATLANTIC CITY 34 5 7(12) 2(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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