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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33
2016-09-05 16:39:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 051439 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 1500 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 5(10) 6(16) X(16) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) BAR HARBOR ME 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 4(11) 3(14) X(14) AUGUSTA ME 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) 2(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) PORTLAND ME 34 8 7(15) 3(18) 3(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) CONCORD NH 34 10 10(20) 3(23) 3(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 13 11(24) 4(28) 4(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 21 16(37) 5(42) 3(45) 3(48) X(48) X(48) WORCESTER MA 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 17 17(34) 4(38) 2(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BOSTON MA 34 24 14(38) 5(43) 4(47) 4(51) X(51) X(51) BOSTON MA 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 49 12(61) 3(64) 3(67) 3(70) X(70) X(70) HYANNIS MA 50 3 9(12) 3(15) 2(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 66 9(75) 2(77) 2(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81) NANTUCKET MA 50 13 13(26) 2(28) 1(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) NANTUCKET MA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 39 17(56) 4(60) 3(63) 3(66) X(66) X(66) PROVIDENCE RI 50 2 8(10) 3(13) 2(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 20 20(40) 5(45) 2(47) 3(50) 1(51) X(51) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW HAVEN CT 34 23 20(43) 5(48) 2(50) 4(54) X(54) X(54) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HARTFORD CT 34 20 20(40) 4(44) 3(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) HARTFORD CT 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW LONDON CT 34 35 20(55) 5(60) 3(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) NEW LONDON CT 50 2 9(11) 3(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) NEW LONDON CT 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ALBANY NY 34 6 9(15) 4(19) 1(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 10 13(23) 4(27) 2(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) MONTAUK POINT 34 46 19(65) 4(69) 2(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) MONTAUK POINT 50 3 16(19) 4(23) 2(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) MONTAUK POINT 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLIP NY 34 23 22(45) 5(50) 2(52) 3(55) X(55) X(55) ISLIP NY 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 16 17(33) 5(38) 2(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 14 15(29) 5(34) 1(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 12 14(26) 4(30) 1(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) TRENTON NJ 34 8 11(19) 3(22) 1(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) NWS EARLE NJ 34 13 14(27) 4(31) 1(32) 3(35) X(35) X(35) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ALLENTOWN PA 34 4 9(13) 2(15) 1(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) PHILADELPHIA 34 6 9(15) 3(18) 1(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) ATLANTIC CITY 34 9 12(21) 3(24) 1(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) BALTIMORE MD 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DOVER DE 34 4 8(12) 2(14) 1(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 6 7(13) 3(16) 1(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) OCEAN CITY MD 34 5 7(12) 2(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) PAX RIVER NAS 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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