je.st
news
Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 19
2024-09-30 16:52:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 931 WTNT25 KNHC 301452 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.8N 29.1W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 140SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 360SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.8N 29.1W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.6N 30.0W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 46.0N 26.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.6N 23.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...160NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 49.3N 22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 50.6N 20.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 52.0N 19.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 54.0N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.8N 29.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON ISAAC. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE UK MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT21 EGRR. $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Tropical Depression Joyce Forecast Advisory Number 13
2024-09-30 16:47:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 669 WTNT21 KNHC 301434 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 49.3W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 49.3W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 49.4W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.1N 49.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.1N 49.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.3N 49.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.0N 49.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 49.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KONARIK/PAPIN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Joyce Forecast Discussion Number 13
2024-09-30 16:36:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 000 WTNT41 KNHC 301436 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Joyce Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112024 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 30 2024 Joyce continues to struggle to remain a tropical depression, having a fully exposed low-level center displaced to the west of pulsing deep convection. This displacement is a result of strong southwesterly vertical wind shear ahead of a central Atlantic upper-level trough. With no recent surface observations or scatterometer wind data available, 30 kt will remain the initial intensity, reflecting the subjective Dvorak analysis from TAFB and SAB. The depression has meandered this morning, and the current motion estimate is an uncertain 360/2 kt. The official track forecast depicts a slow northward motion until Joyce fully dissipates in 48 h, similar to the previous track forecast. Continued shear coupled with persistent dry air should increasingly inhibit organized convection, leading to Joyce degenerating into a remnant low soon. The intensity forecast is similar to the previous one showing Joyce becoming a remnant low in 12 h with total dissipation in about 48 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/1500Z 22.4N 49.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 23.1N 49.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/1200Z 24.1N 49.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/0000Z 25.3N 49.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1200Z 27.0N 49.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Konarik/Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics