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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2020-07-29 16:50:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 291449 PWSAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 3(13) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) 3(17) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) 3(21) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 2(14) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 2(15) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 11(27) 2(29) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 12(23) 2(25) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 5(26) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 7(23) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 9(19) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 2(13) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 11(14) 1(15) 1(16) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 2(25) X(25) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) MAYAGUANA 34 X 2( 2) 24(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) GRAND TURK 34 X 14(14) 33(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) LES CAYES 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 6( 6) 19(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) CAPE BEATA 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 55(55) 23(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) PUERTO PLATA 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 74(74) 2(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PONCE PR 34 82 14(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) PONCE PR 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AGUADILLA PR 34 42 50(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) AGUADILLA PR 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JUAN PR 34 77 15(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) VIEQUES PR 34 91 2(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) SAINT THOMAS 34 81 2(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) SAINT CROIX 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) SAINT MAARTEN 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) SABA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST EUSTATIUS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARBUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ANTIGUA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) AVES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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