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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2017-08-06 22:36:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 062036 PWSAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072017 2100 UTC SUN AUG 06 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) X(22) LA PESCA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) X(37) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 29(35) X(35) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 11(32) 1(33) X(33) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 X 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) BELIZE CITY 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GUANAJA 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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