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Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2021-08-13 16:55:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 131455 PWSAT2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 1500 UTC FRI AUG 13 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 1(20) X(20) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 1(23) X(23) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) X(23) X(23) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) X(24) X(24) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26) X(26) X(26) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27) SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 5(28) X(28) X(28) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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