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Potential Tropical Cyclone Three Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2017-06-20 16:35:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 201434 PWSAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017 1500 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MOBILE AL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) STENNIS MS 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) BURAS LA 34 10 4(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) GFMX 280N 890W 34 28 2(30) X(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 4 6(10) 3(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 280N 910W 34 67 12(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) GFMX 280N 910W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 5( 7) 6(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) MORGAN CITY LA 34 5 12(17) 8(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 9(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) LAFAYETTE LA 34 2 8(10) 11(21) 6(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) NEW IBERIA LA 34 2 10(12) 12(24) 5(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) GFMX 280N 930W 34 8 43(51) 18(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18) FORT POLK LA 34 1 2( 3) 8(11) 13(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 1 7( 8) 17(25) 14(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 1 11(12) 24(36) 10(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JASPER TX 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 15(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 4( 4) 13(17) 14(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 6( 7) 19(26) 13(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GALVESTON TX 34 1 5( 6) 18(24) 8(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HOUSTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 8(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUSTIN TX 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 1 3( 4) 10(14) 7(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 7( 8) 12(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 6( 7) 20(27) 12(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MATAGORDA TX 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) PORT O CONNOR 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ROCKPORT TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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