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Remnants of Fred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

2021-08-15 04:48:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 150248 PWSAT1 REMNANTS OF FRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062021 0300 UTC SUN AUG 15 2021 AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF FRED WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT VENICE FL 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 6(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 10(27) X(27) X(27) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 7( 7) 36(43) 8(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 4( 4) 18(22) 5(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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