je.st
news
Remnants of Gordon Forecast Discussion Number 25
2024-09-17 17:00:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 17 2024 095 WTNT42 KNHC 171500 TCDAT2 Remnants Of Gordon Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072024 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 17 2024 Gordon is no longer a tropical cyclone. The convective structure has degraded since the overnight hours, with only small bursts of convection occurring to the south and east of the estimated center position. More importantly, recent scatterometer data indicate the system does not possess a well-defined, trackable center, with an elongated structure more indicative of a trough of low pressure. Therefore, this will be the final NHC advisory on the remnants of Gordon. The initial intensity is set at 25 kt based on the scatterometer data, although this could be generous. The remnants are expected to move northward to north-northeastward over open waters during the next few days while rotating around a non-tropical low currently positioned to its north. While the structure is unlikely to improve in the short term, there are indications in the global models that the remnants of Gordon could redevelop later this week once the system moves into a more moist environment and gains some distance from the nearby frontal low. NHC will continue to monitor the remnants of Gordon for signs of organization and the possibility of redevelopment later this week. Information on the potential for regeneration will be contained in the Tropical Weather Outlook. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 19.5N 49.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF GORDON 12H 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Remnants of Gordon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25
2024-09-17 16:58:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 17 2024 530 FONT12 KNHC 171458 PWSAT2 REMNANTS OF GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 1500 UTC TUE SEP 17 2024 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF GORDON WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS ...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Remnants of Gordon (AT2/AL072024)
2024-09-17 16:58:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GORDON DEGENERATES TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 17 the center of Gordon was located near 19.5, -49.1 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics