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Remnants of Oscar Forecast Discussion Number 15
2024-10-22 19:57:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT41 KNHC 221757 TCDAT1 Remnants Of Oscar Special Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 Based on earlier aircraft reconnaissance observations, more recent scatterometer data, high-resolution visible satellite images, and surface synoptic observations, Oscar has degenerated into a broad area of low pressure near the Bahamas. Therefore, this is the last advisory on this system. A new, but non-tropical, low pressure system will likely develop farther to the north-northeast in a day or so. This low is expected to absorb the remnants of Oscar. Further information on the remnants of Oscar and this new non-tropical system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/1800Z 23.0N 74.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0000Z ..DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-22 19:57:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221756 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued a special, final advisory on the remnants of Oscar, located near the central and southeastern Bahamas. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Papin/Torres-Vazquez
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Oscar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2024-10-22 19:56:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 221756 PWSAT1 REMNANTS OF OSCAR SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 AT 1800Z THE REMNANTS OF OSCAR WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics